trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 41% | 35% | -42.3% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 41% | 35% | -42.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 41% | 35% | -42.3% |
| all | 17 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 41% | 35% | -42.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.2% | 35% | -42.3% |
| 10% | -35.9% | 35% | -47.8% |
| 15% | -42.1% | 35% | -52.9% |
| 20% | -47.8% | 35% | -57.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | $12 | $13 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Spain | 56¢ | 56¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$9 | +90% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$13 | +124% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $19 | −$19 | -99% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $11 | +$12 | +105% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$12 | +61% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | −$15 | -91% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |