trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 67% | 33% | -7.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +7.9% | -2.4% | 79% | 29% | -0.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 80% | 27% | -0.6% |
| all | 15 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 80% | 27% | -0.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.7% | 27% | -0.6% |
| 10% | -12.0% | 7% | -10.1% |
| 15% | -20.5% | 7% | -18.8% |
| 20% | -28.3% | 7% | -26.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | No | 91¢ | 88¢ | $51 | $50 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $43 | $43 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $22 | $22 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 26 | $35 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 26 | $54 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$4 | +16% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $32 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 28 | $3 | $0 | +10% |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playo | May 28 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 28 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | May 28 | $12 | +$17 | +135% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +3% |