Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:43:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1386…373a
crypto · 1103 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$55 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$65 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized+$65
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses954 / 144
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1098 / 1103
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day322.9
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 5 History 1098 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$71
14 days+$65
30 days+$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes 10¢ 2¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-77%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$16 +520%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$52
other 7% +$11
world 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 985 +3.3% -6.5% 87% 65% -6.5%
≤30d 1098 +2.8% -7.0% 87% 64% -7.1%
≤90d 1098 +2.8% -7.0% 87% 64% -7.1%
all 1098 +2.8% -7.0% 87% 64% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover322.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 64% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 23% -16.0%
15% -24.0% 5% -24.1%
20% -31.5% 1% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.31 · official $40.31 (match) · 3500 history records