trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 55% | 27% | -31.5% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -33.7% | -40.1% | 32% | 16% | -41.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -33.7% | -40.1% | 32% | 16% | -41.8% |
| all | 25 | -33.7% | -40.1% | 32% | 16% | -41.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.1% | 16% | -41.8% |
| 10% | -45.8% | 8% | -47.4% |
| 15% | -51.0% | 8% | -52.5% |
| 20% | -55.8% | 8% | -57.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $2 | $3 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-13%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Jun 04 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $4 | −$3 | -73% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -84% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |