Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T12:58:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x136a…6ba9 crypto 79 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (144 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$55 (-2%) realized −$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate89%70W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day144.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (144 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +9.2% -1.2% 89% 19% -11.4%
≤30d 79 +9.2% -1.2% 89% 19% -11.4%
≤90d 79 +9.2% -1.2% 89% 19% -11.4%
all 79 +9.2% -1.2% 89% 19% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover144.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.2% 19% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -10.7% 16% -19.9%
15% -19.3% 13% -27.6%
20% -27.2% 13% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$17 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$3
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses70 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage1d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day144.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 79 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $50 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $50 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $50 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.09 · official $0.00 · 227 history records