Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:12:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1354…19f7
crypto · 820 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$556 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$556 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$556
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses280 / 540
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)820 / 820
History coverage49d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 820 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$116
14 days−$87
30 days−$452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$18 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$16 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$15 +330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Portugal leading at halftime? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $76 −$76 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $27 +$50 +183%
Netherlands leading at halftime? Jun 08 $17 +$10 +60%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $6 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -94%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 06 $9 −$9 -99%
Egypt leading at halftime? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $18 −$18 -100%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $31 −$31 -98%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $27 +$22 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -95%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $21 −$20 -97%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $10 +$59 +589%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $21 −$21 -98%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $10 +$22 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 03 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$3 +147%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 +$31 +605%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$684
sports 8% +$105
other 2% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -34.1% -40.4% 29% 29% -36.2%
≤30d 458 -14.7% -22.8% 33% 32% -20.8%
≤90d 820 -14.3% -22.5% 34% 33% -17.2%
all 820 -14.3% -22.5% 34% 33% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 33% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 32% -25.1%
15% -36.7% 31% -32.3%
20% -42.9% 30% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2337 history records