Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T06:39:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x1348…80b1 crypto 231 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$14 (+0%) realized +$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate90%207W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$74per market
Trades / day16.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$30
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% +$134
other 22% −$195
sports 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -7.2% -16.1% 90% 0% -12.6%
≤30d 225 -1.8% -11.1% 91% 17% -9.8%
≤90d 230 -1.9% -11.3% 90% 17% -9.9%
all 230 -1.9% -11.3% 90% 17% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 17% -9.9%
10% -19.8% 4% -18.5%
15% -27.5% 3% -26.4%
20% -34.6% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$39 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses207 / 23
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)230 / 231
History coverage30d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 230 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 90¢ 86¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 15 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 04 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 04 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 04 $10 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 04 $25 −$25 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $35 +$1 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 04 $25 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 04 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 04 $25 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 04 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 04 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 04 $25 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 03 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 03 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 03 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 25 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 25 $10 −$7 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 25 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 25 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 25 $101 −$100 -99%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 25 $100 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 25 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 25 $201 +$18 +9%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 25 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 25 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 25 $201 +$15 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 24 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 24 $201 +$16 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 24 $101 +$12 +12%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 24 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 24 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 24 $100 +$2 +2%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 24 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.81 · official $3.69 · 682 history records