Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1341…0853
other · 114 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,063,324 -518%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,136,870 · open +$71,686
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$570,839
Realized−$2,136,870
Unrealized+$71,686
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses16 / 379
Whale WR (big bets)4%
Est. fees paid−$2,260
Open positions113
Markets (closed)395 / 114
History coverage5d
Avg bet$3,496
Trades / day708.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 113 History 395 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,113,057
7 days−$2,136,870
14 days−$2,136,870
30 days−$2,136,870
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 42¢ 98¢ $25,200 $59,100 +$33,900 (+135%)
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 85¢ 85¢ $44,725 $44,777 +$52 (+0%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 43¢ 80¢ $16,063 $30,418 +$14,354 (+89%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 86¢ $25,300 $25,800 +$500 (+2%)
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $24,111 $24,124 +$12 (+0%)
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 79¢ 78¢ $23,700 $23,250 −$450 (-2%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 61¢ 62¢ $21,643 $22,175 +$532 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 46¢ 53¢ $18,400 $21,200 +$2,800 (+15%)
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage? Yes 70¢ 76¢ $19,339 $20,865 +$1,526 (+8%)
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 82¢ 82¢ $20,681 $20,812 +$131 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ 100¢ $9,600 $19,990 +$10,390 (+108%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 64¢ 66¢ $15,379 $15,863 +$483 (+3%)
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 90¢ $13,050 $13,425 +$375 (+3%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 87¢ $13,125 $13,042 −$82 (-1%)
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? No 65¢ 72¢ $11,291 $12,467 +$1,175 (+10%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 42¢ 38¢ $12,699 $11,250 −$1,449 (-11%)
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 96¢ 97¢ $11,069 $11,143 +$73 (+1%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 96¢ 98¢ $10,450 $10,651 +$201 (+2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 62¢ 64¢ $9,356 $9,733 +$377 (+4%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 62¢ 62¢ $9,300 $9,375 +$75 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ 100¢ $4,134 $9,161 +$5,027 (+122%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 71¢ 72¢ $8,185 $8,358 +$173 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 78¢ 78¢ $7,130 $7,175 +$46 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 46¢ 46¢ $6,900 $6,975 +$75 (+1%)
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $6,706 $6,856 +$150 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $5,771 −$5,771 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,425 −$1,425 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $1,560 −$1,560 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $892 −$892 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,654 −$6,654 -100%
Oilers vs. Capitals Jun 12 $326 −$326 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10,521 −$10,521 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,823 −$1,823 -100%
Little Rock Trojans vs. SIUE Cougars Jun 12 $278 −$278 -100%
Pistons vs. Raptors Jun 12 $3,869 −$3,869 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $5,824 −$5,824 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $211 −$211 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $28,229 −$28,229 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $15,908 −$15,908 -100%
Seattle Redhawks vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 145.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Nuggets vs. Spurs Jun 12 $9,762 −$9,762 -100%
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $7,050 −$7,050 -100%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 12 $496 −$496 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Cowboys vs. Raiders Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Missouri State Bears vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 142.5 Jun 12 $2,880 −$2,880 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4,125 −$4,125 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $238 −$238 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Islanders Jun 12 $112,672 −$112,672 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 12 $770 −$770 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,053 −$3,053 -100%
Hornets vs. Pacers Jun 12 $1,404 −$1,404 -100%
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,367 −$1,367 -100%
Marist Red Foxes vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 142.5 Jun 12 $2,891 −$2,891 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 12 $3,379 −$3,379 -100%
Ducks vs. Canucks Jun 12 $5,500 −$5,500 -100%
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,750 −$3,750 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $9,203 −$9,203 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Jun 12 $2,175 −$2,175 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,732 −$1,732 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,804 −$2,804 -100%
Predators vs. Sharks Jun 12 $13,000 −$13,000 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 12 $988 −$988 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2,252 −$2,252 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,196 −$5,196 -100%
Ducks vs. Wild Jun 12 $84,376 −$84,376 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,906 −$1,906 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) Jun 12 $9,915 −$9,909 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,418 −$2,418 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $43,342 −$43,342 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% +$17,077
sports 32% +$46,548
world 2% −$82
crypto 1% +$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 20¢ $125 1m
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 20¢ $1 3m
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 20¢ $15 4m
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 71¢ $24 6m
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl SELL No 66¢ $67 6m
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro BUY No 41¢ $2 14m
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 78¢ $34 27m
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro BUY No 41¢ $2 34m
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $28 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA Wo BUY No 80¢ $52 47m
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro BUY No 41¢ $695 49m
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro BUY No 41¢ $21 49m
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 86¢ $8 57m
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 71¢ $7 1h
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 86¢ $22 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 78¢ $10 1h
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 71¢ $1,175 1h
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage? BUY Yes 72¢ $644 1h
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 78¢ $355 1h
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 78¢ $205 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 78¢ $10 1h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 78¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 78¢ $18 1h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage? BUY Yes 72¢ $7,331 1h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $37 1h
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-95.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 395 -95.0% -95.5% 4% 1% -97.3%
≤30d 395 -95.0% -95.5% 4% 1% -97.3%
≤90d 395 -95.0% -95.5% 4% 1% -97.3%
all 395 -95.0% -95.5% 4% 1% -97.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover708.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -95.5% 1% -97.3%
10% -95.9% 1% -97.6%
15% ← realistic here -96.3% 1% -97.8%
20% -96.7% 1% -98.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $570,838.87 · official $570,842.77 (match) · 3500 history records