Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:22:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x133a…504a
sports · 1231 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$157 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$460
Realized−$129
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses562 / 660
Est. fees paid−$883
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1222 / 1231
History coverage24d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day96.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 1222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,996
7 days−$4,470
14 days−$4,075
30 days−$129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette Linette 26¢ 57¢ $60 $132 +$72 (+119%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Dane Sweeny 22¢ 20¢ $140 $128 −$12 (-9%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Under 47¢ 100¢ $50 $106 +$56 (+113%)
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5) Linette 56¢ 51¢ $40 $36 −$4 (-9%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 35¢ 34¢ $36 $35 −$1 (-4%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Under 58¢ 48¢ $21 $17 −$4 (-17%)
Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs Sachko Sachko 45¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+11%)
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Yaroslav Demin 26¢ 0¢ $58 $1 −$57 (-98%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
ITF Varnamo: Aristotelis Thanos vs Niels Mcdonald Aristotelis Thanos 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 28¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev Demin 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Hikaru Shiraishi 37¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi Kenta Miyoshi 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Anton Shepp Anton Shepp 27¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 47¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 43¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe Tiafoe 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 30¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp Henry Bernet 28¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Dan Added 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 37¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Demin vs. Chepelev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $132 −$45 -34%
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $188 +$39 +21%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $90 +$73 +81%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $52 −$51 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jun 13 $85 −$83 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $51 +$51 +101%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $15 +$19 +124%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $31 +$43 +140%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $31 +$39 +129%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $12 +$16 +129%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $66 −$65 -99%
ITF Los Angeles: Spencer Johnson vs Nathan Trouve Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $181 +$109 +60%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $61 +$79 +129%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $30 −$29 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $289 +$149 +52%
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 12 $30 +$40 +134%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $77 −$42 -54%
Iva Jovic vs. Amanda Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $12 +$17 +140%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $101 −$100 -98%
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Modena (Doubles): Huergo/Radisic vs Gorgodze/Karamoko Jun 12 $30 +$35 +114%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5) Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Added vs Luque Jun 12 $24 +$50 +206%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $35 +$38 +110%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $30 −$30 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $61 +$82 +134%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $111 −$109 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $96 −$94 -98%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $84 −$83 -98%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 12 $27 −$27 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $185 +$3 +2%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $7 +$8 +114%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $122 +$81 +66%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $53 +$171 +321%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Jun 12 $26 +$20 +76%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$157
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 22¢ $72 5m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 23¢ $72 6m
Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette BUY Linette 26¢ $31 8m
Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette BUY Linette 26¢ $31 10m
Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs Sachko BUY Sachko 45¢ $4 40m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 34¢ $6 41m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 35¢ $31 41m
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5) BUY Linette 56¢ $41 46m
ITF Varnamo: Aristotelis Thanos vs Niels Mcdonald BUY Aristotelis Thanos 32¢ $4 1h
Demin vs. Chepelev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 28¢ $51 1h
Demin vs. Chepelev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 57¢ $51 1h
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev BUY Yaroslav Demin 26¢ $51 1h
Demin vs. Chepelev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 30¢ $31 1h
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev BUY Yaroslav Demin 24¢ $8 1h
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev BUY Demin 26¢ $51 1h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp BUY Henry Bernet 28¢ $51 2h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Alan Magadan 41¢ $31 4h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Alan Magadan 40¢ $31 4h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Alan Magadan 24¢ $25 4h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan SELL Naoya Honda 47¢ $74 4h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Naoya Honda 24¢ $51 4h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Naoya Honda 48¢ $51 5h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 43¢ $21 6h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 43¢ $31 6h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Under 47¢ $51 6h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 48¢ $19 6h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 38¢ $29 6h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Hikaru Shiraishi 38¢ $34 7h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Hikaru Shiraishi 36¢ $51 7h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 43¢ $31 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 520 -30.0% -36.6% 31% 30% -28.5%
≤30d 1222 -0.2% -9.7% 46% 44% -9.7%
≤90d 1222 -0.2% -9.7% 46% 44% -9.7%
all 1222 -0.2% -9.7% 46% 44% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 44% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 43% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 41% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 37% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $459.50 · official $459.52 (match) · 3500 history records