Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:37:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1328…e46e
sports · 83 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$60 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses40 / 43
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)83 / 83
History coverage535d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$26
14 days−$24
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $94 $0 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 13 $230 +$4 +2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $111 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 12 $262 −$18 -7%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 07 $119 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $113 +$1 +1%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 06 $84 +$1 +1%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 06 $325 −$13 -4%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $23 +$2 +10%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 05 $89 $0 +0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 05 $216 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 03 $123 $0 +0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab May 27 $2 $0 -0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 24 $123 +$2 +1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 24 $39 +$7 +19%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 23 $2 +$37 +1905%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? May 14 $423 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 22 $573 −$2 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 21 $158 $0 +0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $539 $0 +0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $603 −$10 -2%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship Dec 09 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on June 17? Jun 18 $1 $0 +3%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? Jun 01 $2 $0 +1%
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? May 20 $1 $0 +1%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 20 $2 $0 +2%
Georgescu banned from Romania election? May 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga? Apr 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? Mar 22 $21 $0 +0%
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government? Mar 19 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 7? Mar 11 $22 $0 +1%
Will Trump's 2025 joint address get 42-46m viewers? Mar 05 $21 $0 +0%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06? Mar 05 $22 $0 +0%
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06? Mar 05 $23 −$1 -5%
Devils vs. Stars Mar 05 $14 +$9 +67%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 4? Mar 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Memphis vs. UTSA Mar 04 $13 $0 -1%
Akron vs. Toledo Mar 04 $15 −$2 -16%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 5? Mar 04 $17 −$2 -11%
Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress? Mar 04 $30 +$1 +4%
Baylor vs. TCU Mar 04 $34 −$2 -6%
Will Trump say 'unemployment' during the 2025 State of the Union? Mar 04 $40 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 5? Mar 04 $40 $0 +1%
Belmont vs. Missouri State Mar 04 $20 +$20 +100%
Army vs. Lafayette Feb 25 $21 −$1 -4%
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? Feb 25 $21 −$1 -3%
UMBC vs. UMass Lowell Feb 22 $98 −$98 -100%
Anderlecht vs. Fenerbahce Feb 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Feb 19 $23 −$1 -5%
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League? Feb 19 $0 $0 +120%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% −$106
world 33% +$12
other 14% +$42
politics 6% −$12
weather 4% +$14
economics 1% +$1
finance 1% +$7
crypto 0% −$17
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 22¢ $94 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 22¢ $94 3h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $79 9h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $9 9h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $27 9h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 56¢ $42 11h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 56¢ $69 11h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 77¢ $12 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 77¢ $99 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $111 18h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 43¢ $122 21h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 47¢ $133 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $119 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $38 5d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $81 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $13 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY Yes 4¢ $15 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 29¢ $29 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 28¢ $28 6d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 19¢ $10 6d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 19¢ $10 6d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 19¢ $13 6d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 7d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 19¢ $32 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $3 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $13 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 4¢ $14 7d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL No 55¢ $4 7d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL No 55¢ $85 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)+8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.9% -10.4% 38% 0% -11.3%
≤30d 17 +113.3% +93.0% 59% 12% -8.7%
≤90d 21 +91.7% +73.4% 48% 10% -9.3%
all 83 +19.7% +8.3% 48% 19% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.3% 19% -10.5%
10% -2.1% 13% -19.1%
15% -11.5% 12% -26.9%
20% -20.2% 11% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 299 history records