Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1318…be7b
crypto · 1046 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$103 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$103 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses369 / 677
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1046 / 1046
History coverage272d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1046 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$107
14 days−$44
30 days−$1,591
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$30 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$67 +164%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$14 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$29 +280%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$13 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$12 +228%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 08 $17 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$805
sports 3% +$706
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $13 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $46 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $108 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -4.8% -13.9% 39% 36% +1.8%
≤30d 511 -28.2% -35.0% 31% 29% -36.9%
≤90d 631 -22.6% -30.0% 32% 30% -30.2%
all 1046 -11.9% -20.3% 35% 32% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.3% 32% -12.2%
10% -27.9% 29% -20.6%
15% -34.9% 27% -28.3%
20% -41.2% 25% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1802 history records