Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:33:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1316…b090
world · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 32
Open positions10
Markets (closed)32 / 37
History coverage14d
Avg bet$297
Trades / day243.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 10 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 88¢ 86¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-3%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 95¢ 94¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 96¢ 96¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 74¢ 75¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 97¢ 99¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -262%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jun 12 $216 $0 -0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 12 $107 $0 -0%
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Jun 11 $40 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 11 $35 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 09 $21 $0 -0%
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 08 $326 $0 -0%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $5 $0 -0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 08 $2,263 −$2 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $147 $0 -0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 08 $79 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 08 $57 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 08 $17 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 03 $7 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 03 $7 $0 -0%
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? Jun 01 $15 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 31 $7 $0 -0%
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elec May 31 $7 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $217 $0 -0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 30 $91 $0 -0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 30 $41 $0 -0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? May 30 $15 $0 -0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 30 $8 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 29 $8 $0 -1%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $9 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $9 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 69% −$3
politics 24% $0
other 6% −$1
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 11m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 11m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 19m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 19m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 28m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 28m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 87¢ $5 36m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $5 37m
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $5 50m
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? BUY No 97¢ $5 50m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $5 1h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 2h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $5 2h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 32 -6.5% -15.4% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 32 -6.5% -15.4% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 32 -6.5% -15.4% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover243.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 0% -18.3%
15% -30.9% 0% -26.2%
20% -37.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.46 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records