Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x1314…45c8 crypto 890 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$177 (-3%) realized −$177 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate34%301W / 588L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day52.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days+$190
14 days−$155
30 days−$320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$320
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -12.4% -20.8% 43% 40% -10.4%
≤30d 889 -16.2% -24.2% 34% 29% -18.0%
≤90d 889 -16.2% -24.2% 34% 29% -18.0%
all 889 -16.2% -24.2% 34% 29% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.2% 29% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 23% -25.8%
15% -38.1% 19% -33.0%
20% -44.1% 16% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$6 · ×1.77 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$177
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses301 / 588
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)889 / 890
History coverage25d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day52.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 889 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$8 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$38 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$23 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$45 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$14 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$12 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$12 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$16 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$10 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$12 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$32 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$15 +53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1748 history records