Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:57:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x130a…5c12
sports · 212 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$466 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$469 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$469
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses103 / 108
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)211 / 212
History coverage60d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 1 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$10
14 days+$108
30 days+$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $35 +$8 +23%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $27 +$14 +50%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $7 +$10 +140%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $15 −$2 -15%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $11 +$4 +32%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $11 $0 +3%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $7 +$4 +52%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 09 $27 −$27 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $27 $0 +2%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $21 +$5 +26%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) Jun 07 $10 +$11 +105%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) Jun 06 $5 +$5 +101%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 06 $27 −$18 -65%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 06 $12 +$3 +22%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $30 +$12 +40%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 05 $52 +$18 +35%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) Jun 05 $38 −$16 -42%
Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. FC Bayern Munchen Jun 05 $32 +$6 +19%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $68 +$30 +44%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $33 −$25 -76%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $31 +$2 +6%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5) Jun 03 $34 +$16 +48%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 02 $32 +$3 +8%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $34 +$11 +33%
Spread: Slovakia (-1.5) Jun 01 $5 −$2 -43%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $9 +$5 +56%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) Jun 01 $8 +$6 +76%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks May 31 $30 +$15 +50%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $44 +$26 +60%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $22 +$16 +69%
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $15 −$9 -60%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $5 −$2 -50%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 +$1 +57%
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire May 30 $32 +$8 +24%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) May 29 $21 +$11 +55%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions May 28 $23 −$10 -42%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $2 +$2 +119%
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) May 27 $29 +$23 +79%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 27 $13 −$5 -39%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions May 27 $4 +$2 +62%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) May 27 $7 −$3 -43%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) May 26 $38 +$27 +73%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) May 25 $20 +$18 +90%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 25 $15 −$12 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$339
other 18% +$127
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 81¢ $35 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $3 7h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 66¢ $27 22h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $7 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $7 2d
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 30¢ $12 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 43¢ $12 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 49¢ $15 3d
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries BUY Golden State Valkyries 75¢ $11 3d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx SELL Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $11 3d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 97¢ $11 3d
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky SELL Atlanta Dream 100¢ $11 3d
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky BUY Atlanta Dream 65¢ $7 4d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 51¢ $4 4d
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 65¢ $27 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $27 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $27 5d
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty BUY New York Liberty 79¢ $21 6d
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 48¢ $10 7d
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) SELL Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $10 7d
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 49¢ $5 7d
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife SELL La Laguna Tenerife 99¢ $5 7d
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife BUY La Laguna Tenerife 86¢ $5 7d
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife SELL Real Madrid 18¢ $5 7d
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife BUY Real Madrid 87¢ $23 7d
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) SELL Belgium 66¢ $7 7d
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) SELL Belgium 66¢ $7 7d
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) BUY Belgium 53¢ $12 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 71¢ $30 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +3.9% -6.0% 67% 53% -5.3%
≤30d 84 +16.2% +5.1% 62% 56% +6.9%
≤90d 211 +4.4% -5.5% 49% 44% +2.4%
all 211 +4.4% -5.5% 49% 44% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.5% 44% +2.4%
10% -14.6% 38% -7.4%
15% -22.8% 31% -16.4%
20% -30.4% 26% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 574 history records