Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:29:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1305…46d2
sports · 25 markets active 1h ago
8.0score
+$12,698 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,989 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$12,989
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses20 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$305
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage188d
Avg bet$1,296
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,533
7 days+$10,524
14 days+$12,448
30 days+$12,448
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 61¢ $762 $0 −$762 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $549 +$350 +64%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $502 −$502 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $535 −$535 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2,070 +$927 +45%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $768 −$762 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $9,057 +$4,056 +45%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,166 +$2,893 +47%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3,845 +$2,252 +59%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1,454 +$694 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,015 +$717 +71%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,031 +$414 +40%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $37 +$22 +60%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $648 +$431 +66%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $440 +$559 +127%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $663 +$637 +96%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $268 +$132 +49%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $669 +$166 +25%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $831 +$472 +57%
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? Apr 14 $277 +$78 +28%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? Apr 14 $550 +$183 +33%
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? Apr 11 $300 −$300 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $350 +$206 +59%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner Mar 19 $152 −$152 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09? Dec 09 $135 +$15 +11%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08? Dec 08 $99 +$39 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$12,297
other 6% +$509
politics 2% +$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $899 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 61¢ $549 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $2,997 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $130 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $7 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $16 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $4 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $10 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $42 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $67 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $2 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $11 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $4 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $8 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $11 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $6 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $87 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $11 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $123 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $71 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $668 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $13 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $34 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $744 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $61 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $13 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $61 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $16 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $61 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)+11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +14.7% +3.8% 75% 75% +25.7%
≤30d 17 +31.8% +19.2% 82% 82% +28.4%
≤90d 23 +22.5% +10.8% 78% 78% +26.9%
all 25 +22.7% +11.0% 80% 80% +26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.0% 80% +26.7%
10% +0.4% 76% +14.6%
15% -9.3% 64% +3.5%
20% -18.2% 36% -6.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 178 history records