Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:21:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12ea…4a0e
crypto · 394 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,631 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,915 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,915
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses281 / 113
Open positions0
Markets (closed)394 / 394
History coverage23d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day48.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 394 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$712
14 days−$712
30 days−$1,915
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $139 −$138 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $311 −$47 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $507 −$238 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $166 −$159 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $153 +$114 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $318 −$25 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $535 −$235 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 30 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 30 $57 −$56 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 30 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 29 $88 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 29 $63 −$62 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 29 $17 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 29 $55 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 29 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 29 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 29 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 29 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 29 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 29 $49 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 29 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 29 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 29 $102 −$12 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 29 $51 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 29 $87 +$13 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 29 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 29 $101 +$9 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,915
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $139 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $13 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $22 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $136 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $111 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $93 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -5.0% -14.1% 68% 36% -33.4%
≤30d 394 -1.3% -10.7% 71% 40% -17.9%
≤90d 394 -1.3% -10.7% 71% 40% -17.9%
all 394 -1.3% -10.7% 71% 40% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 40% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 24% -25.8%
15% -27.1% 15% -33.0%
20% -34.2% 9% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1454 history records