Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:06:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12e4…eeeb
crypto · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses4 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage5d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $9 −$6 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-36.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -30.1% -36.8% 31% 23% -55.4%
≤30d 13 -30.1% -36.8% 31% 23% -55.4%
≤90d 13 -30.1% -36.8% 31% 23% -55.4%
all 13 -30.1% -36.8% 31% 23% -55.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.8% 23% -55.4%
10% -42.8% 23% -59.6%
15% -48.4% 23% -63.5%
20% -53.4% 23% -67.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 40 history records