Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12d0…af2e
crypto · 331 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$464 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$478 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$478
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses142 / 186
Open positions4
Markets (closed)328 / 331
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day3119.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 328 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$478
7 days−$478
14 days−$478
30 days−$478
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 28¢ 55¢ $8 $16 +$8 (+100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 42¢ 66¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+58%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 41¢ 69¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 29¢ 100¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+240%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 49¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 49¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -69%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$7 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$7 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -63%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +66%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$17 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$27 +201%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$11 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$7 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 328 -11.0% -19.5% 43% 38% -23.9%
≤30d 328 -11.0% -19.5% 43% 38% -23.9%
≤90d 328 -11.0% -19.5% 43% 38% -23.9%
all 328 -11.0% -19.5% 43% 38% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3119.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 38% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 32% -31.2%
15% -34.2% 21% -37.9%
20% -40.7% 15% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.72 · official $25.36 · 3500 history records