trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 33% | 0% | -11.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -3.7% | -12.8% | 38% | 8% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -3.7% | -12.8% | 38% | 8% | -9.2% |
| all | 28 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 54% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $22 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $30 | +$3 | +11% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 02 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 01 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | Jun 01 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 31 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 28 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jayson Tatum play in Game 5? | May 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 28 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | Apr 28 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Cana | Apr 27 | $11 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government? | Apr 27 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | Apr 26 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | Apr 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 24 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 24 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend? | Mar 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |