trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 89% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 32 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 88% | 6% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.3% | 6% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -26.1% | 3% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -39.8% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $226 | $226 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $224 in May? | Jun 01 | $226 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 17 | $226 | $0 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | May 07 | $226 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $225 | $0 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Apr 18 | $225 | $0 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Bulls | Apr 12 | $224 | $0 | +0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Apr 08 | $224 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Mar 31 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Mar 31 | $224 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 25? | Mar 26 | $224 | $0 | +0% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Mar 12 | $919 | +$3 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Mar 09 | $917 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6? | Mar 07 | $917 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on March 4? | Mar 05 | $915 | +$1 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Feb 28 | $906 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $2.50? | Feb 21 | $385 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $7.50? | Feb 21 | $474 | $0 | +0% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Feb 11 | $824 | +$81 | +10% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 01 | $163 | +$5 | +3% |
| Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Feb 01 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner | Jan 22 | $61 | −$55 | -90% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner | Jan 22 | $40 | +$2 | +4% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | Jan 22 | $334 | +$31 | +9% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 22 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseveranc | Jan 22 | $10 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Jan 22 | $226 | +$77 | +34% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 12 above $165? | Jan 17 | $980 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $465 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $324 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $325 | $0 | +0% |