Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12ad…2fae
crypto · 186 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$46
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses87 / 93
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)180 / 186
History coverage23d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day16.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 180 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$8
14 days−$30
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 79¢ 96¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 75¢ 79¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 62¢ 88¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 61¢ 82¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 73¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 69¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-96%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on June 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$46
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +0.7% -8.8% 63% 53% -7.3%
≤30d 180 -6.5% -15.4% 48% 41% -15.3%
≤90d 180 -6.5% -15.4% 48% 41% -15.3%
all 180 -6.5% -15.4% 48% 41% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 41% -15.3%
10% -23.5% 35% -23.4%
15% -30.9% 25% -30.8%
20% -37.6% 12% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.53 · official $8.07 · 470 history records