trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +9.9% | -0.6% | 71% | 65% | +29.8% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +7.5% | -2.7% | 68% | 61% | +14.5% |
| ≤90d | 60 | +22.4% | +10.7% | 52% | 43% | +6.9% |
| all | 313 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 50% | 41% | -4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 41% | -4.1% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 32% | -13.3% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 27% | -21.7% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 22% | -29.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $4,503 | $4,766 | +$263 (+6%) |
| Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 98¢ | $355 | $389 | +$34 (+10%) |
| Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 86¢ | 96¢ | $344 | $382 | +$38 (+11%) |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 79¢ | 79¢ | $330 | $328 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 73¢ | 70¢ | $204 | $197 | −$7 (-3%) |
| Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 35¢ | 42¢ | $123 | $148 | +$25 (+20%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 46¢ | $94 | $68 | −$26 (-28%) |
| Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 37¢ | 40¢ | $56 | $59 | +$4 (+7%) |
| Will Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 49¢ | 50¢ | $51 | $51 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$15 | +50% |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $186 | +$14 | +7% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $301 | +$38 | +13% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 20 | $150 | −$10 | -7% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$34 | +67% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $25 | +$16 | +62% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $196 | +$34 | +17% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$2 | -32% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $35 | +$15 | +43% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$7 | +23% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $89 | +$11 | +12% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $44 | −$43 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$5 | +11% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $366 | +$633 | +173% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $131 | −$22 | -16% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $241 | −$31 | -13% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $115 | +$13 | +11% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $46 | +$28 | +61% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | Jun 04 | $248 | +$32 | +13% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 | Jun 04 | $165 | +$19 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $35 | +$24 | +68% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 29 | $307 | +$142 | +46% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 27 | $357 | $0 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $12 | −$1 | -7% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $136 | −$61 | -45% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | May 22 | $35 | −$18 | -52% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $18 | +$32 | +178% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | May 20 | $20 | −$2 | -12% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $854 | +$145 | +17% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $20 | +$40 | +201% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 10 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5 | May 06 | $250 | +$8 | +3% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $35 | −$34 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $10 | −$6 | -55% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $120 | +$114 | +95% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $31 | +$66 | +216% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $31 | −$6 | -19% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $97 | +$2 | +2% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 29 | $206 | −$204 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $9 | +$51 | +549% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |