Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:37:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x1288…d200
sports · 262 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$350 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$344 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$69
Realized−$344
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses150 / 100
Est. fees paid−$36
Open positions12
Markets (closed)250 / 262
History coverage198d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 12 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$20
14 days−$124
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Saudi Arabia 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 56¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
France leading at halftime? No 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 56¢ 55¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) Curaçao 66¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 54¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will St Mirren FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw? No 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Valencia (-5.5) Valencia 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 Under 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Brandon Nakashima 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. AC Nagano Parceiro end in a draw? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winner magic 67¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Corentin Moutet 56¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Luca Nardi 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta Jun 11 $6 −$1 -20%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $44 −$22 -49%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito Jun 11 $7 −$5 -75%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 11 $10 −$5 -47%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 11 $6 −$1 -18%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +92%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5 +$3 +64%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $20 −$10 -50%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 +$3 +67%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 +$3 +57%
Legia Warszawa vs. Basket Zielona Gora Jun 10 $5 +$2 +46%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5 +$1 +29%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $5 +$2 +42%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $5 +$2 +32%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $5 +$2 +43%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $12 +$4 +29%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $5 +$3 +64%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $5 +$3 +67%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $10 −$5 -50%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $5 +$2 +30%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $19 −$5 -26%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $10 +$4 +38%
Spread: Valencia (-5.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $12 +$5 +44%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $12 −$5 -40%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $14 +$1 +10%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 10 $5 +$4 +76%
ITF Hurghada: Aliesia Reva vs Ashleigh Harvey Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo Jun 10 $69 −$24 -35%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $76 +$20 +26%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $5 +$1 +27%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $5 +$1 +24%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 09 $5 +$2 +44%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $5 +$1 +24%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Jun 09 $45 −$2 -4%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 +$2 +34%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 Jun 09 $134 −$8 -6%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $46 +$5 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 35% −$13
sports 27% −$164
weather 22% −$6
crypto 12% −$158
other 2% −$10
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $4 2h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 52¢ $5 2h
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) BUY Saudi Arabia 60¢ $5 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $14 2h
France leading at halftime? BUY No 52¢ $5 37h
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta SELL Anchisa Chanta 100¢ $6 38h
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta BUY Ya Yi Yang 40¢ $1 38h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Panna Udvardy 71¢ $22 38h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur SELL Panna Udvardy 69¢ $22 38h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $5 38h
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta BUY Anchisa Chanta 78¢ $5 39h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 65¢ $5 39h
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito SELL Sara Saito 100¢ $3 42h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 42h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 64¢ $5 42h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm SELL Los Angeles Sparks 100¢ $7 42h
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 46¢ $2 42h
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito BUY Daria Khomutsianskaya 72¢ $5 42h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) SELL Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $5 42h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) SELL Knicks 100¢ $8 42h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 98¢ $5 42h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 50¢ $5 42h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm BUY Los Angeles Sparks 68¢ $5 42h
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) SELL Knicks 100¢ $8 42h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 42h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Texas Rangers 100¢ $8 43h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 14¢ $1 43h
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Spurs 28¢ $1 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -5.9% -14.9% 60% 55% -9.9%
≤30d 126 -7.2% -16.1% 64% 53% -10.5%
≤90d 235 -13.4% -21.6% 62% 52% -11.8%
all 250 -12.6% -21.0% 60% 51% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 51% -11.5%
10% -28.5% 36% -20.0%
15% -35.4% 20% -27.7%
20% -41.8% 11% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.08 · official $69.08 (match) · 1237 history records