trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 53% | 53% | -30.2% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 53% | 53% | -30.2% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 53% | 53% | -30.2% |
| all | 19 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 53% | 53% | -30.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -7.4% | 53% | -30.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -16.3% | 53% | -36.9% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 42% | -43.0% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 32% | -48.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $23 | $0 | −$23 (-100%) |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $1,571 | −$662 | -42% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $12 | +$6 | +49% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June | Jun 25 | $9 | +$7 | +74% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $89 | −$71 | -80% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $8 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24? | Jun 25 | $14 | +$15 | +103% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $14 | +$15 | +107% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $13 | +$3 | +22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25? | Jun 24 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25? | Jun 24 | $12 | −$12 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Jun 23 | $63 | +$168 | +267% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Jun 23 | $80 | +$43 | +54% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Jun 23 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Jun 23 | $52 | +$65 | +126% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? | Jun 23 | $60 | +$23 | +38% |