Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:03:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
12 0x1283…c269 crypto 1564 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$179 (-2%) realized −$179 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate62%1039W / 629L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day82.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$814
7 days−$891
14 days−$940
30 days−$1,107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$350
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 429 -28.8% -35.6% 53% 43% -43.0%
≤30d 1545 -11.2% -19.7% 62% 53% -22.5%
≤90d 1668 -10.9% -19.4% 62% 52% -21.5%
all 1668 -10.9% -19.4% 62% 52% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 52% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 31% -29.0%
15% -34.1% 19% -35.9%
20% -40.6% 5% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$179
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1039 / 629
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1668 / 1564
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day82.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1668 Trades
no open positions (152 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$7 -251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$3 -216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$7 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$8 -309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records