Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:36:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x126a…cfea
crypto · 58 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$91 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses28 / 29
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)57 / 58
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day65.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$91
14 days−$91
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 46¢ 46¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$9 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$14 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$15 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Jun 12 $15 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -78%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $23 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$85
other 11% +$17
sports 5% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 47m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $12 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -1.3% -10.7% 49% 46% -21.1%
≤30d 57 -1.3% -10.7% 49% 46% -21.1%
≤90d 57 -1.3% -10.7% 49% 46% -21.1%
all 57 -1.3% -10.7% 49% 46% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 46% -21.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 40% -28.7%
15% -27.1% 35% -35.6%
20% -34.2% 26% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.88 · official $10.88 (match) · 190 history records