trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $6,064 | $0 | −$6,064 (-100%) |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $10,212 | $0 | −$10,212 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 04 | $5,741 | +$3,850 | +67% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 04 | $150,729 | +$161,037 | +107% |
| Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial El | Jun 04 | $46,635 | −$17,573 | -38% |
| Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E | Jun 04 | $57,813 | −$26,229 | -45% |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 03 | $10,471 | −$10,279 | -98% |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 03 | $6,218 | −$6,158 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 33% | 33% | +24.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 33% | 33% | +24.7% |
| all | 6 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 33% | 33% | +24.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -26.0% | 33% | +24.7% |
| 10% | -33.1% | 33% | +12.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -39.5% | 33% | +1.9% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 33% | -8.1% |