Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:44:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x1246…2324
crypto · 296 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,323 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,313 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized−$3,313
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses128 / 478
Open positions1
Markets (closed)606 / 296
History coverage19d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day174.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 606 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,872
7 days−$2,885
14 days−$2,885
30 days−$3,313
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 72¢ 96¢ $46 $61 +$15 (+32%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 24¢ 4¢ $13 $2 −$10 (-81%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 31¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+222%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 14¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+614%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +92%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$271
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $43 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $12 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $14 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $6 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $8 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $17 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $22 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $9 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $10 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-57.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -70.3% -73.1% 14% 13% -40.3%
≤30d 606 -53.3% -57.7% 21% 17% -21.0%
≤90d 606 -53.3% -57.7% 21% 17% -21.0%
all 606 -53.3% -57.7% 21% 17% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover174.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.7% 17% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -61.8% 13% -28.5%
15% -65.5% 9% -35.4%
20% -68.8% 7% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.87 · official $63.26 · 3500 history records