Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:47:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x1244…43f8
crypto · 2046 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$793 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,252 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$1,252
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1058 / 536
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1594 / 2046
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day147.0
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1594 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$797
7 days−$963
14 days+$1,193
30 days+$1,252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 65¢ 66¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$2,130
other 3% −$351
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -10.1% -18.7% 41% 40% -42.9%
≤30d 1594 +23.2% +11.5% 66% 64% +2.3%
≤90d 1594 +23.2% +11.5% 66% 64% +2.3%
all 1594 +23.2% +11.5% 66% 64% +2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.5% 64% +2.3%
10% ← realistic here +0.8% 62% -7.5%
15% -9.0% 57% -16.4%
20% -17.9% 49% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.65 · official $6.85 (match) · 3500 history records