Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:41:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x1232…4a10
sports · 34 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
+$1,031 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,031 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,031
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses22 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$255
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
Avg bet$324
Trades / day195.6
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$707
14 days+$592
30 days+$1,031
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31 Jun 10 $62 +$21 +34%
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $788 +$229 +29%
Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $56 +$19 +34%
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, Jun 10 $81 +$12 +15%
Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 20 Jun 10 $132 +$30 +23%
Will Mike Evans be traded? Jun 10 $23 +$2 +7%
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? Jun 09 $322 +$111 +35%
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? Jun 09 $100 +$25 +25%
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 20 Jun 08 $517 +$114 +22%
Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $303 +$85 +28%
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2 Jun 06 $179 +$60 +34%
Will Jonah Heim win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Jun 05 $408 −$90 -22%
Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 re Jun 05 $673 −$78 -12%
Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 202 Jun 04 $717 −$146 -20%
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? Jun 04 $1,070 +$207 +19%
Will Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? May 31 $4 $0 -7%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? May 31 $10 −$2 -15%
Will Lucas Bartlett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? May 31 $13 −$1 -9%
Will Dany Rosero win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? May 30 $6 −$1 -12%
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? May 30 $825 −$40 -5%
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? May 30 $1,437 −$159 -11%
Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? May 29 $336 +$40 +12%
Will Andoni Iraola be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? May 29 $534 +$154 +29%
Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia P May 29 $952 +$185 +20%
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 May 29 $37 +$6 +17%
Will Bennett Stirtz be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? May 29 $28 −$6 -23%
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? May 29 $86 +$13 +15%
Will Hannes Steinbach be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? May 29 $118 −$5 -4%
Will Kartik Tyagi win the 2026 IPL Emerging Player of the Season award May 29 $28 −$7 -24%
Will Keaton Wagler be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? May 29 $245 +$6 +3%
Will LaBaron Philon be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? May 29 $6 +$6 +100%
Will Kingston Flemings be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? May 29 $40 +$40 +100%
Will Carson Williams win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? May 25 $660 +$173 +26%
Will Carter Jensen win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? May 25 $230 +$27 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% +$315
sports 37% +$406
world 22% +$310
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31 SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $15 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $13 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $8 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $9 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $11 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $7 2d
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +25.9% +13.9% 100% 91% +15.5%
≤30d 34 +13.9% +3.0% 65% 59% -1.1%
≤90d 34 +13.9% +3.0% 65% 59% -1.1%
all 34 +13.9% +3.0% 65% 59% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover195.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.0% 59% -1.1%
10% ← realistic here -6.8% 35% -10.5%
15% -15.8% 6% -19.2%
20% -24.1% 6% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3103 history records