Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x122f…f0f9
crypto · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$117 -55%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$117 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$117
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses5 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage33d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$77
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$2 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 04 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 04 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 04 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 04 $3 +$48 +1487%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 30 $2 +$3 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 24 $5 +$9 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? May 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? May 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $15 −$1 -4%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11? May 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $1 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% −$78
other 26% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $8 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $9 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $13 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-36.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 36 -27.0% -34.0% 14% 14% -53.0%
≤90d 39 -30.2% -36.9% 13% 13% -60.4%
all 39 -30.2% -36.9% 13% 13% -60.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.9% 13% -60.4%
10% -42.9% 13% -64.2%
15% -48.4% 13% -67.6%
20% -53.5% 10% -70.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 86 history records