Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:56:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x122e…3b03
crypto · 1543 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$296 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$412 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$412
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses770 / 730
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1500 / 1543
History coverage41d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day62.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1500 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days+$421
14 days+$721
30 days+$587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$26 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $221 −$15 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$85 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$10 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $57 +$48 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$11 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$317
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $189 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 +3.3% -6.5% 48% 44% -3.0%
≤30d 1010 +1.8% -7.9% 52% 48% -7.0%
≤90d 1500 -1.5% -10.8% 51% 47% -10.8%
all 1500 -1.5% -10.8% 51% 47% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 47% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 45% -19.3%
15% -27.2% 43% -27.1%
20% -34.3% 41% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records