trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 28 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 39% | 18% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 18% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 7% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 4% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 4% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 17 | $670 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Jun 17 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 27 | $385 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 27 | $164 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Apr 03 | $200 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 03 | $372 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 03 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Mar 04 | $660 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 04 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping? | Mar 04 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| US downs another Iranian drone by February 28? | Feb 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: FRK vs Team WE (BO3) | Jan 24 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Katie Porter drops out of the CA Gov race by Dec 31? | Jan 24 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15? | Jan 24 | $2 | −$1 | -70% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during S | Nov 28 | $1 | +$1 | +72% |
| Euro Basket: Great Britain vs Lithuania | Oct 17 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31? | Aug 27 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Jul 18 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May? | May 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars? | May 21 | $4 | −$3 | -66% |
| OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? | Jan 15 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | Nov 28 | $316 | $0 | -0% |
| US GDP declines in Q3 2024? | Nov 26 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | Oct 18 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | Oct 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cup | Aug 28 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Aug 14 | $572 | −$11 | -2% |