trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 43% | 19% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.0% | 19% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 19% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 19% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 19% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 21 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Spezia Calcio vs. Empoli FC: Both Teams to Score | Mar 18 | $83 | +$80 | +96% |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 17 | $847 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? | Mar 16 | $828 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | Mar 16 | $863 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi | Mar 16 | $779 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Everton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 20 | Mar 16 | $791 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Mar 16 | $763 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Mar 16 | $795 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Mar 15 | $793 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 15 | $895 | $0 | +0% |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14? | Mar 15 | $769 | −$3 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4AM ET | Mar 03 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 1, 5AM ET | Mar 01 | $13 | +$13 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 9AM ET | Mar 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 10PM ET | Feb 27 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10PM ET | Feb 26 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4AM ET | Feb 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11PM ET | Feb 25 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 10, 10AM ET | Feb 11 | $7 | +$7 | +100% |