trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $153 | $152 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $150 | $150 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $150 | $150 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 | Over | 68¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $98 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? | No | 63¢ | 66¢ | $31 | $33 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $26 | +$22 | +88% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $75 | +$11 | +14% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $110 | +$106 | +96% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,755 | +$737 | +42% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $118 | −$118 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $57 | +$61 | +107% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $111 | −$111 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline | Jun 09 | $121 | +$44 | +36% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 07 | $241 | +$60 | +25% |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Jun 06 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 67% | 67% | +14.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 64% | 64% | +13.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 64% | 64% | +13.6% |
| all | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 64% | 64% | +13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 64% | +13.6% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 55% | +2.7% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 45% | -7.2% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 27% | -16.3% |