Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11fc…9568
crypto · 368 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,529 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,079 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,079
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses266 / 102
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage15d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day77.4
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$430
7 days+$397
14 days+$784
30 days+$1,079
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $529 $0 −$529 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1,360 $0 −$1,360 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $371 $0 −$371 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$2 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $252 +$76 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$9 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$5 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $375 −$371 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $146 +$14 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $90 +$30 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $846 +$154 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$20 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $191 +$142 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$12 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$10 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$119 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $340 −$340 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $171 +$62 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$14 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$11 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$14 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$37 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$26 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $73 −$29 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$5 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,759 +$17 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$51 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,362 −$1,360 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$15 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$3 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$16 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $862 +$26 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $145 +$9 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $344 +$19 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $64 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1,591 +$488 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,306 +$14 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $403 +$30 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,445 +$55 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $67 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$13 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$507
other 10% +$571
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $18 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $16 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $13 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $19 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $94 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 296 +0.3% -9.2% 70% 53% -8.5%
≤30d 368 +5.5% -4.6% 72% 55% -6.9%
≤90d 368 +5.5% -4.6% 72% 55% -6.9%
all 368 +5.5% -4.6% 72% 55% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.6% 55% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 46% -15.8%
15% -22.0% 28% -24.0%
20% -29.7% 16% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1465 history records