Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:17:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11f5…5d82
crypto · 1550 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,181 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,180 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$1,180
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses862 / 684
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1546 / 1550
History coverage58d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 1546 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$112
7 days+$231
14 days−$340
30 days−$1,893
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$13 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$10 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$12 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$11 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,061
other 1% −$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $15 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $16 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $17 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 +6.9% -3.3% 61% 59% +4.3%
≤30d 860 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 51% -20.7%
≤90d 1546 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 53% -12.4%
all 1546 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 53% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 53% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 52% -20.8%
15% -28.4% 52% -28.5%
20% -35.5% 50% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.14 · official $39.14 (match) · 3500 history records