Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11ee…85fe
sports · 77 markets active 33d ago
4.5score
+$11,128 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,128 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$11,128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses23 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)77 / 77
Avg bet$921
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lions Eastern Kentucky Colonels 11¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes 5¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns 29¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Knicks Pacers 9¢ 0¢ $519 $0 −$519 (-100%)
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Clippers 55¢ 0¢ $687 $0 −$687 (-100%)
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels Campbell Fighting Camels 32¢ 0¢ $377 $0 −$377 (-100%)
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats 10¢ 0¢ $499 $0 −$499 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Heat Pistons 42¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $657 $0 −$657 (-100%)
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigers Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 19¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs AM Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $309 $0 −$309 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $498 $0 −$498 (-100%)
Netanyahu out by March 31? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Clippers Clippers 33¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Clippers Timberwolves 39¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $776 $0 −$776 (-100%)
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1,849 $0 −$1,849 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $584 $0 −$584 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers Grambling State Tigers 15¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Knicks Knicks 21¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netanyahu out by June 30? May 10 $338 −$258 -76%
Pacers vs. Knicks Mar 18 $519 −$519 -100%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Mar 16 $500 −$500 -100%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators Mar 13 $500 −$499 -100%
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines Mar 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Clippers Mar 12 $2,300 −$2,300 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $776 −$776 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Mar 10 $133 −$133 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-4.5) Mar 10 $500 +$256 +51%
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) Mar 10 $1,000 +$1,703 +170%
Pistons vs. Heat Mar 08 $750 −$750 -100%
Thunder vs. Knicks Mar 05 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Mar 02 $665 −$657 -99%
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? Feb 28 $250 +$444 +178%
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026? Feb 28 $550 +$908 +165%
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Feb 27 $687 −$687 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Clippers Feb 27 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Feb 25 $499 −$498 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Feb 25 $209 +$197 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Feb 25 $550 +$902 +164%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Feb 25 $315 −$315 -100%
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Feb 25 $285 −$285 -100%
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Feb 17 $2,299 −$1,950 -85%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $250 −$250 -100%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playo Feb 17 $309 −$309 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Feb 17 $591 −$584 -99%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $291 −$291 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Feb 17 $298 −$298 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Feb 17 $515 +$1,175 +228%
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans Feb 17 $837 +$1,176 +141%
Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolves Feb 17 $326 +$2,001 +614%
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigers Feb 17 $189 −$189 -100%
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers Feb 17 $800 −$800 -100%
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs Feb 17 $250 +$530 +212%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group St Feb 16 $300 +$245 +82%
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Feb 16 $250 −$250 -100%
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lions Feb 15 $200 −$200 -100%
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels Feb 15 $377 −$377 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? Feb 14 $250 −$72 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down on February 14? Feb 14 $225 +$211 +94%
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? Feb 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 4? Feb 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Everton win on 2025-08-18? Feb 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Cardi B and Stefon Diggs breakup before August? Feb 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? Feb 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13? Feb 14 $250 −$250 -100%
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup? Feb 14 $84 −$84 -100%
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Feb 14 $200 −$200 -100%
GTA VI released in 2025? Feb 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26? Feb 14 $371 −$371 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$14,440
sports 29% −$2,043
world 9% −$1,532
crypto 5% +$454
tech 0% −$191
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $80 32d
Pacers vs. Knicks BUY Pacers 9¢ $519 86d
Netanyahu out by June 30? BUY Yes 17¢ $338 87d
Netanyahu out by March 31? BUY Yes 5¢ $300 87d
Netanyahu out by March 31? BUY Yes 5¢ $200 87d
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators BUY Kentucky Wildcats 10¢ $500 90d
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines BUY Ohio State Buckeyes 5¢ $300 90d
Timberwolves vs. Clippers BUY Timberwolves 39¢ $2,300 92d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 12¢ $376 93d
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $133 93d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 24¢ $400 93d
Pistons vs. Heat BUY Pistons 42¢ $750 95d
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) BUY Charles Oliveira 37¢ $1,000 96d
Spread: Thunder (-4.5) BUY Knicks 66¢ $500 99d
Thunder vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 21¢ $500 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $665 101d
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) BUY Clippers 55¢ $687 105d
Timberwolves vs. Clippers BUY Clippers 33¢ $500 105d
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $550 105d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $250 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $249 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $209 106d
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $315 106d
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $285 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $550 106d
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $250 106d
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $1,849 114d
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 22¢ $349 114d
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $450 114d
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17? BUY Yes 15¢ $250 114d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 3 -92.2% -92.9% 0% 0% -94.7%
all 77 -0.2% -9.7% 30% 30% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 30% +4.9%
10% -18.3% 30% -5.1%
15% -26.2% 30% -14.3%
20% -33.4% 29% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 150 history records