Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:10:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11e7…f559
sports · 231 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,927 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,354 · open +$433
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,478
Realized−$3,354
Unrealized+$433
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses99 / 123
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$383
Open positions9
Markets (closed)222 / 231
History coverage53d
Avg bet$150
Trades / day36.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 9 History 222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$226
7 days−$334
14 days+$820
30 days−$3,407
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 20¢ 36¢ $555 $971 +$417 (+75%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 62¢ 60¢ $216 $207 −$8 (-4%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 56¢ 52¢ $100 $92 −$8 (-8%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 64¢ 100¢ $58 $91 +$33 (+57%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 59¢ 57¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-3%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $22 $20 −$2 (-11%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 51¢ 81¢ $8 $12 +$5 (+59%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-7%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 54¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? No 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 19¢ 0¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 61¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5) Team Falcons 31¢ 0¢ $473 $0 −$473 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 14¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 36¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 51¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 71¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 53¢ 0¢ $398 $0 −$398 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) TheMongolz 44¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 41¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 32¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 12 $111 −$10 -9%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$4 -27%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $277 −$17 -6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $154 +$99 +64%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $103 +$95 +92%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $346 +$221 +64%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $474 −$52 -11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $421 −$148 -35%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $174 −$134 -77%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $169 +$77 +45%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $176 −$78 -44%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 12 $84 −$14 -17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $91 −$90 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $98 −$96 -98%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 12 $41 −$20 -49%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? Jun 12 $34 +$1 +4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 12 $110 −$37 -33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $191 −$188 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $46 −$46 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $410 +$215 +52%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $16 −$1 -3%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $8 +$7 +93%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $17 −$17 -98%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $177 +$228 +129%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $132 +$58 +44%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $104 −$102 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $212 +$175 +83%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $212 −$40 -19%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $202 −$199 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $221 −$218 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $12 −$12 -98%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Jun 01 $855 +$700 +82%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $59 +$43 +72%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $1,357 +$185 +14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $45 −$44 -99%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $342 +$56 +16%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $210 +$26 +13%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 31 $3 −$2 -62%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $37 +$16 +43%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner May 30 $30 −$7 -23%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl May 30 $34 +$19 +57%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 30 $57 −$50 -87%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner May 30 $69 +$31 +46%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $151 +$79 +53%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner May 30 $13 −$13 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 30 $28 +$18 +65%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner May 30 $31 +$18 +60%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 30 $98 +$90 +92%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $229 +$156 +68%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $103 −$101 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$3,226
world 21% −$141
finance 10% +$644
other 3% +$348
crypto 2% −$545
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 59¢ $24 51m
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 59¢ $0 56m
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 59¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $3 1h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 60¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $3 1h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 60¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $130 1h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 38¢ $204 8h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL No 50¢ $13 10h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 10h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 10h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 10h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL No 41¢ $12 11h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 53¢ $190 11h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $20 11h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 11h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 11h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 11h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 11h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 38¢ $34 11h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $3 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -19.4% -27.0% 33% 30% -14.3%
≤30d 168 -21.6% -29.0% 40% 37% -19.7%
≤90d 222 -13.1% -21.3% 45% 41% -18.7%
all 222 -13.1% -21.3% 45% 41% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 41% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 35% -26.5%
15% -35.7% 34% -33.6%
20% -42.0% 25% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,478.45 · official $1,478.50 (match) · 2046 history records