trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +79.0% | +61.9% | 100% | 100% | +64.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +6.6% | -3.6% | 71% | 29% | +0.7% |
| all | 13 | -19.3% | -27.0% | 62% | 15% | -0.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.0% | 15% | -0.6% |
| 10% | -33.9% | 15% | -10.1% |
| 15% | -40.3% | 15% | -18.8% |
| 20% | -46.2% | 15% | -26.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $508 | $503 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $181 | +$169 | +93% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $122 | +$79 | +65% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 22 | $137 | −$135 | -98% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Apr 22 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | Apr 22 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Negative GDP growth in 2025? | Apr 22 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10? | Apr 22 | $240 | −$32 | -13% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | Mar 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Feb 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? | Feb 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31? | Feb 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | Feb 02 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 02 | $23 | +$1 | +2% |