trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +19.7% | +8.3% | 50% | 50% | +41.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +19.7% | +8.3% | 50% | 50% | +41.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 38% | 38% | +32.7% |
| all | 11 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 36% | 36% | +30.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.6% | 36% | +30.7% |
| 10% | -39.1% | 36% | +18.2% |
| 15% | -45.0% | 36% | +6.8% |
| 20% | -50.3% | 27% | -3.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $16 | $9 | −$7 (-42%) |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 22 | $76 | +$42 | +56% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | Jun 22 | $459 | +$416 | +91% |
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 22 | $137 | −$72 | -53% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Jun 21 | $8 | −$1 | -15% |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | May 18 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Apr 17 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | Apr 04 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the | Mar 26 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 18 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 12 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during Miami address? | Mar 10 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |