trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 25 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -16.7% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -24.7% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -32.0% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -38.6% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 15 | $0 | −$1 | -222% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 15 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 14 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 13 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Jun 12 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $130 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 06 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Jun 03 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | May 31 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 31 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $15 | $0 | -1% |