trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 5% | 5% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 5% | 5% | -9.6% |
| all | 47 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 19% | 19% | -12.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.8% | 19% | -12.0% |
| 10% | -28.4% | 19% | -20.4% |
| 15% | -35.3% | 19% | -28.1% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 17% | -35.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 15 | $240 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 15 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 15 | $310 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $410 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 12 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 12 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 12 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 11 | $310 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 11 | $580 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 11 | $830 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 11 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 11 | $310 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 11 | $370 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 10 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 10 | $240 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 10 | $440 | −$1 | -0% |
| Blues vs. Maple Leafs | Jun 09 | $8 | +$7 | +85% |
| Houston vs. UCF | Nov 07 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Golden Knights | Nov 07 | $14 | +$16 | +113% |
| Red Wings vs. Ducks | Nov 03 | $8 | +$7 | +89% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Chiefs | Oct 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Sep 22 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 22 | $2 | +$3 | +127% |
| Nationals vs. Marlins | Sep 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Red Sox vs. Orioles | Aug 26 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 22 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Aug 20 | $31 | +$15 | +49% |
| Astros vs. Yankees | Aug 12 | $17 | +$15 | +89% |
| Will Victoria Livschitz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Champions | Aug 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | Jul 30 | $5 | +$4 | +75% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 10 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 09 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Feb 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. 76ers | Feb 05 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Warriors | Feb 04 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pistons | Feb 03 | $105 | +$101 | +96% |
| Hawks vs. Bulls | Nov 26 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Nov 22 | $23 | +$23 | +100% |