Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11a2…e2fa
sports · 31 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses10 / 18
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)28 / 31
History coverage45d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 3 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders Kolkata Knight Riders 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals Punjab Kings 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 +$2 +172%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 14 $2 +$3 +129%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 13 $12 +$14 +114%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings May 11 $10 +$11 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings May 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand May 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 06 $16 −$16 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 06 $2 $0 -10%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings May 04 $15 +$18 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 01 $1 +$2 +156%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 01 $15 +$20 +134%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 30 $20 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Apr 30 $2 +$2 +77%
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand Apr 29 $20 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$16
other 6% +$1
crypto 6% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 36h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 36h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 47¢ $4 36h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 36h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $4 36h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 36h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $3 2d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 47¢ $10 18d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 43¢ $2 31d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R BUY Kolkata Knight Riders 44¢ $10 31d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Gujarat Titans 46¢ $12 33d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals BUY Punjab Kings 58¢ $10 33d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 47¢ $10 38d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Delhi Capitals 56¢ $12 39d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Lucknow Super Giants 41¢ $10 40d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 40d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 40d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 40d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 40d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings BUY Gujarat Titans 45¢ $15 41d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 60¢ $16 41d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 55¢ $15 42d
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand BUY Bangladesh 59¢ $15 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 43d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -9.7% -18.3% 29% 29% -22.9%
≤30d 8 -21.0% -28.5% 25% 25% -54.9%
≤90d 28 -8.7% -17.4% 36% 36% -17.5%
all 28 -8.7% -17.4% 36% 36% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 36% -17.5%
10% -25.3% 36% -25.4%
15% -32.5% 36% -32.6%
20% -39.1% 36% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.01 · official $3.01 (match) · 55 history records