Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:42:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x119d…bec3
sports · 60 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$5,782 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,674 · open −$108
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$117
Realized−$5,674
Unrealized−$108
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses24 / 30
Est. fees paid−$241
Open positions6
Markets (closed)54 / 60
History coverage24d
Avg bet$209
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$84
7 days−$269
14 days−$199
30 days−$5,674
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? Yes 39¢ 22¢ $56 $32 −$24 (-43%)
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $35 $28 −$8 (-21%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 1¢ $19 $15 −$4 (-19%)
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? Yes 18¢ 10¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-44%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 35¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) ThunderTalk Gaming 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 34¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? No 6¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winner NRG 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 33¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 10¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 18¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 58¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 33¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Shanghai Sharks 50¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 40¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$51 +247%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$10 +20%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$53 +520%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $160 −$157 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $132 −$130 -98%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $137 −$6 -4%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 07 $64 −$60 -94%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $219 −$20 -9%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 02 $38 −$12 -32%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 02 $152 −$150 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $82 −$30 -37%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $51 +$109 +213%
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask? Jun 01 $54 −$54 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $86 +$176 +205%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks May 31 $82 +$176 +216%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 30 $102 +$126 +124%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $127 −$125 -99%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) May 30 $76 −$75 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) May 30 $51 −$50 -98%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) May 29 $51 +$1 +2%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $51 +$2 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $102 +$261 +256%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 28 $152 +$111 +73%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $51 +$4 +8%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 28 $51 −$50 -98%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx May 28 $306 −$300 -98%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winner May 28 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 27 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $102 −$15 -15%
Spread: Thunder (-2.5) May 27 $470 +$347 +74%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) May 27 $203 +$228 +112%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $122 +$109 +89%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 27 $51 +$16 +32%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) May 27 $36 +$13 +37%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $451 +$202 +45%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $101 +$74 +73%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner May 25 $163 +$293 +180%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) May 25 $46 −$3 -7%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $204 −$200 -98%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) May 24 $46 +$76 +165%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $199 +$236 +119%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 23 $89 −$86 -97%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5 May 23 $53 −$52 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $51 −$50 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $203 +$232 +114%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $60 +$87 +146%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 22 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 22 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$5,651
crypto 2% −$80
other 2% −$6
tech 1% −$29
world 0% −$12
economics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 27¢ $31 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 90¢ $50 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 38¢ $21 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 18¢ $20 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $10 3h
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY Yes 39¢ $21 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 77¢ $60 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 10¢ $10 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 25¢ $10 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $10 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $20 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 51¢ $30 4h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $20 5h
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY Yes 18¢ $10 5h
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY Yes 40¢ $37 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $28 8h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 79¢ $22 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 26¢ $14 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 9h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $31 10h
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $36 34h
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $36 35h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 4¢ $21 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 19¢ $20 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 30¢ $20 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 49¢ $99 3d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $132 3d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $131 3d
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? BUY No 6¢ $32 4d
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? BUY No 6¢ $32 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +49.3% +35.1% 38% 38% -51.8%
≤30d 54 +9.3% -1.1% 44% 41% -53.1%
≤90d 54 +9.3% -1.1% 44% 41% -53.1%
all 54 +9.3% -1.1% 44% 41% -53.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.1% 41% -53.1%
10% -10.6% 39% -57.6%
15% -19.2% 35% -61.7%
20% -27.1% 31% -65.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.17 · official $117.17 (match) · 147 history records