Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:49:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1199…4cd7
crypto · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$246 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$222 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$222
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses78 / 30
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)108 / 109
History coverage1d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day345.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$222
7 days−$222
14 days−$222
30 days−$222
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 94¢ 64¢ $75 $51 −$24 (-32%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $172 −$71 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $141 +$7 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $116 +$24 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$8 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$22 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $111 +$11 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $96 +$25 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$6 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $15 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$4 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$8 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$23 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$15 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$11 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$7 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$64 +119%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$11 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$17 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$3 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$13 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$248
sports 1% −$1
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $48 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -5.4% -14.4% 72% 35% -13.3%
≤30d 108 -5.4% -14.4% 72% 35% -13.3%
≤90d 108 -5.4% -14.4% 72% 35% -13.3%
all 108 -5.4% -14.4% 72% 35% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover345.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 35% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 17% -21.6%
15% -30.1% 8% -29.2%
20% -36.9% 5% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.88 · official $25.24 · 476 history records