Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:50:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
11 0x117f…4b0f crypto 1022 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$104 (-0%) realized −$104 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate82%843W / 179L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day47.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$19
14 days−$185
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$324
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +1.2% -8.4% 83% 83% -11.3%
≤30d 688 -2.4% -11.7% 82% 26% -10.5%
≤90d 1022 -2.0% -11.3% 82% 22% -10.5%
all 1022 -2.0% -11.3% 82% 22% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover47.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 22% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 6% -19.1%
15% -27.6% 2% -26.9%
20% -34.7% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$12 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses843 / 179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1022 / 1022
History coverage34d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day47.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1022 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$49 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$48 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $39 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $32 +$11 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $34 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$14 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $32 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$27 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $34 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $32 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $33 −$28 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $32 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $32 −$31 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $35 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $40 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 08 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 08 $21 +$13 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 08 $22 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 08 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 08 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$12 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $58 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $50 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $62 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $52 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $52 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $30 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $46 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $39 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $43 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $32 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $21 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $34 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $31 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $37 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $31 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $30 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $32 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $31 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2187 history records