trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 60% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | +64.0% | +48.4% | 50% | 4% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +48.4% | 4% | -6.9% |
| 10% | +34.2% | 4% | -15.8% |
| 15% | +21.2% | 4% | -23.9% |
| 20% | +9.4% | 4% | -31.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $46 | $45 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 36¢ | 34¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 20¢ | 22¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+14%) |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 11 | $42 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 09 | $43 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 04 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 03 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Jun 02 | $1 | +$38 | +4067% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 23 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Pope be from North America? | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 05 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 03 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden? | Apr 02 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 01 | $16 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 01 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| TikTok sale announced before April? | Apr 01 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31? | Apr 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross more than 17m on opening weekend? | Mar 31 | $25 | $0 | +0% |