Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:08:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1171…a820
crypto · 80 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$171 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses56 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)80 / 80
History coverage11d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$187
14 days−$187
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +34%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$14 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$22 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% +$11
politics 24% −$186
other 7% −$12
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -7.0% -15.8% 70% 42% -29.1%
≤30d 80 -7.0% -15.8% 70% 42% -29.1%
≤90d 80 -7.0% -15.8% 70% 42% -29.1%
all 80 -7.0% -15.8% 70% 42% -29.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 42% -29.1%
10% -23.9% 30% -35.9%
15% -31.2% 21% -42.1%
20% -38.0% 15% -47.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 223 history records