Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:16:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x116f…743e
tech · 10 markets active 14h ago
0.0score
−$10 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY tech specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)6 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 4 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No 65¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$3 (+54%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 45¢ 44¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? Yes 89¢ 90¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-4%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No 58¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+71%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 84¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+19%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 35¢ 36¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $18 −$11 -63%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $12 +$4 +31%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $24 +$1 +6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 83% −$12
other 12% −$3
sports 2% $0
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $3 13h
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? BUY No 45¢ $8 22h
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 26h
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 84¢ $2 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 37h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 37h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 37h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 70¢ $6 39h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 72¢ $1 39h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 81¢ $2 39h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House BUY Yes 35¢ $2 39h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 65¢ $6 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 66¢ $4 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 65¢ $6 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 61¢ $10 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL No 40¢ $8 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY No 14¢ $6 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 38¢ $8 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 72¢ $2 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 71¢ $0 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 71¢ $0 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 71¢ $0 40h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 68¢ $6 41h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 89¢ $3 42h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 52¢ $10 44h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 79¢ $3 44h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 85¢ $5 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 67¢ $5 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+286.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +326.8% +286.2% 50% 50% -65.1%
≤30d 6 +326.8% +286.2% 50% 50% -65.1%
≤90d 6 +326.8% +286.2% 50% 50% -65.1%
all 6 +326.8% +286.2% 50% 50% -65.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +286.2% 50% -65.1%
10% +249.2% 33% -68.4%
15% +215.5% 33% -71.5%
20% +184.5% 33% -74.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.48 · official $37.37 (match) · 30 history records